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Pre-registered tests of solid-state-physics-inspired LLM compression: a cluster-level negative result at small-language-model scale

arXiv 2026 63.2 method

TLDR

An autonomous research agent pre-registered and tested five solid-state-physics-inspired LLM compression methods, finding mostly negative results and falsifying expected Kohn-nearsighted behavior.

Reasoning

The paper's strengths include rigorous pre-registration, explicit falsification criteria, and honest reporting of negative results across multiple compression mappings. Weaknesses are the small-language-model scale, many shelved or falsified pilots, and limited evidence for any positive compression outcome.

Read-first score

Read-first score 63.2, weighted from topical fit, citation, graph, method, reproducibility, and recency signals. Original total remains 73.

Recency 8%
100

Uses a gentle age decay so recent papers surface without erasing older foundations. 2026

Methodology quality 25%
80

Screens visible abstract and analysis fields for experiment, dataset, baseline, metric, and limitation evidence. markers=baseline,metric,result

Topical relevance 42%
60.8

Uses existing LLM keyword relevance scores normalized to 0-100. AI scientist,automated scientific discovery,autonomous research agent,automated research,literature review agent,survey generation,automated experimentation,experiment design agent,AI for scientific research,paper writing agent,research automation,scientific discovery agent

Reproducibility 25%
38

Screens links and visible text for paper, code, dataset, artifact, and repository signals. pdf=True; code=False; dataset=False; markers=artifact

Field roles

FrontierMethodology anchor

Rank sensitivity

Stability: volatile; rank range: 35.

Keyword Scores

autonomous research agent
10
automated research
9
automated experimentation
8
experiment design agent
8
AI for scientific research
8
research automation
8
scientific discovery agent
8
AI scientist
7
automated scientific discovery
7
literature review agent
0
survey generation
0
paper writing agent
0

Deep Analysis

Innovations

  • Pre-registration + 3-sigma gate + cluster-framing + append-only-catalogue discipline for autonomous LLM compression research, with predictions committed to git before pilot data.
  • Systematic testing of five solid-state-physics-inspired compression mappings organized by distance face (P001 Wannier, P002 tight-binding) and rank face (P003 DMRG-truncated MLPs, P005 Wilson-RG, P011 tensor-train embeddings) under an area-law/Kohn-nearsighted anchor.
  • Four pre-registered negative results with full data release at small language-model scale.
  • Empirical inversion of the pre-registered Kohn-nearsighted insulator prediction for attention heads at the tested scale, pointing instead to critical, glassy, or heavy-tailed regimes.
  • Cluster-level negative-result catalogue reporting eighteen concluded studies, seventeen negative.

Methodology

A three-month autonomous research-agent program tested five solid-state-physics-inspired compression mappings on pretrained language models, with predictions committed to git before pilot data and a 3-sigma gate deciding PASS or SHELVE. The study used models such as GPT-2-medium and Pythia-160M, with metrics including perplexity, sparsity, and correlation, and baselines including PCA, random-Haar, and identity.

Key Results

P005 was pre-empted at Phase 1 and three of four Phase-3 pilots were falsified; tight-binding cutoff cost +96% perplexity on GPT-2-medium, Wannier sparsity on Pythia-160M (0.054 +/- 0.004) was indistinguishable from PCA, random-Haar, and identity baselines, and tensor-train bond dimension did not track surprisal (r = 0.016 vs pre-registered 0.65) and inflated rather than compressed. Attention-versus-distance was best fit by a stretched exponential in 12 of 16 median-layer heads once probe padding was excluded; P003 was mixed, with scaling r = -0.434 shelved, MPO premise failing at stage-0, and a cross-paper r = 0.523 collapsing to 0.047 under correction, inverting the insulator prediction at the tested scale while rank-face no-gain held to 7-8B.

Limitations

  • The inversion of the Kohn-nearsighted insulator prediction is specific to the ~350M scale tested.
  • The enforcement gate was designed but not deployed.
  • Most findings are negative at small language-model scale, so generality beyond the tested models and scales is not established.
  • P003 is mixed rather than cleanly falsified, with the scaling claim shelved and the MPO premise failing at stage-0.
  • The attention-versus-distance stretched-exponential result depends on excluding probe padding, suggesting sensitivity to probe/tokenization artifacts.
  • The rank-face no-gain result held to 7-8B, but other results were obtained at smaller model scale.

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