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Auto-MD-bench: Evaluating Autoresearch Agents for Real-World Medical Tasks

arXiv 2026 62.5 method

TLDR

Introduces Auto-MD-bench, a benchmark of 15 real-world medical tasks evaluating four autonomous ML agents, showing primary metric performance doesn't guarantee calibration or robustness.

Reasoning

The paper's strength is its realistic benchmark of clinical tasks and multi-agent evaluation, revealing that AUROC alone is insufficient for medical deployment. A weakness is that the abstract is truncated, leaving some metric and baseline details unclear.

Read-first score

Read-first score 62.5, weighted from topical fit, citation, graph, method, reproducibility, and recency signals. Original total remains 51.

Methodology quality 25%
100

Screens visible abstract and analysis fields for experiment, dataset, baseline, metric, and limitation evidence. markers=analysis,baseline,benchmark,dataset,metric,validation

Recency 8%
100

Uses a gentle age decay so recent papers surface without erasing older foundations. 2026

Reproducibility 25%
46

Screens links and visible text for paper, code, dataset, artifact, and repository signals. pdf=True; code=False; dataset=False; markers=code,dataset

Topical relevance 42%
42.5

Uses existing LLM keyword relevance scores normalized to 0-100. AI scientist,automated scientific discovery,autonomous research agent,automated research,literature review agent,survey generation,automated experimentation,experiment design agent,AI for scientific research,paper writing agent,research automation,scientific discovery agent

Field roles

FrontierMethodology anchor

Rank sensitivity

Stability: volatile; rank range: 118.

Keyword Scores

autonomous research agent
8
automated research
7
AI for scientific research
7
AI scientist
6
research automation
6
scientific discovery agent
6
automated scientific discovery
4
automated experimentation
4
experiment design agent
3
literature review agent
0
survey generation
0
paper writing agent
0

Deep Analysis

Innovations

  • Introduces Auto-MD-bench, a benchmark of 15 real-world medical tasks from 10 clinical datasets with external validation across cohorts, hospitals, and time periods.
  • Evaluates four autonomous research agents (AIDE, AI Scientist v2, Codex, and Autoresearch) on real-world medical ML tasks spanning survival analysis, classification, and sequential prediction.
  • Shows that primary task performance alone is insufficient for assessing autonomous clinical modeling and that healthcare-relevant metrics such as calibration and robustness across population shifts must also be considered.

Methodology

Auto-MD-bench comprises 15 real-world medical tasks from 10 clinical datasets spanning survival analysis, classification, and sequential prediction, with external validation across cohorts, hospitals, and time periods. Four autonomous agents (AIDE, AI Scientist v2, Codex, and Autoresearch) are evaluated on primary predictive performance and additional healthcare-relevant metrics including calibration and robustness to population shifts.

Key Results

The strongest agents achieve competitive primary scores, but their predicted risks are less calibrated than simple baseline models, and models with nearly identical primary scores can show markedly different calibration and substantial performance variation across population shifts.

Tags